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Monthly vs hourly load profiles

In our first part, we mentioned that different load profiles can be used for a borefield simulation: monthly and hourly. Although monthly simulations are easy to start with, they do not offer the same level of insight as an hourly simulation. In this chapter, we will discuss the benefits of using hourly load profiles instead of monthly ones.

Hourly load profiles

In Part 1.4, the two different types of load profiles were discussed: monthly load profiles, with monthly values for the baseload and peak power for both heating and cooling, and hourly load profiles, where a value for heating, cooling (and domestic hot water demand) is given for each hour. An example of an hourly load profile is given below.

Hourly load profile for the residential building.
Hourly load profile for the residential building.

The advantage of working with an hourly resolution is that we have a good idea of what the actual load profile looks like, when heating and cooling occur, and what the duration of the peak power is. As we will see below, this last parameter in particular has a significant impact on the results of the monthly simulation.

Two cases

To illustrate the additional insights that can be gained when designing a borefield with hourly versus monthly loads, two different buildings will be discussed.

  • An apartment building with a collective borefield. This building has a significant imbalance in extraction due to higher heating and domestic hot water demands.
  • An auditorium building, which has a high peak cooling demand (since the system is all air in cooling), but still shows an overall imbalance in extraction.

Both buildings were dynamically simulated, so hourly demand profiles for heating and cooling are available. The annual values for heating and cooling, as well as their respective peak powers, are given in the table below.

Building Power Yearly energy
Heating Cooling Heating Cooling DHW
Residential building 62 kW 77 kW 120 MWh 19 MWh 60 MWh
Auditorium building 32 kW 90 kW 38 MWh 3.9 MWh

By performing the simulation using both hourly load profiles and yearly values, we eliminate all other uncertainties and can focus solely on the design differences arising from the use of different load resolutions. Below, both the residential building and the auditorium building are discussed.

For the residential project, the domestic hot water demand has no separate peak power, since it is assumed (in a monthly resolution) that the load is constant and serves as a baseload. When working with hourly values, a specific hourly profile can also be used. However, in order to make the comparison fair, we will assume in both cases that the domestic hot water demand is a constant baseload.

Residential building

As a reference, the simulation with a monthly resolution was performed first. Using an average peak duration of 8 hours (for both heating and cooling), the following profile was obtained with a 7×4 borefield and boreholes up to 150 m deep.

Monthly temperature profile for the residential building.
Monthly temperature profile for the residential building.

As was clear from the building demand itself, there is a significant imbalance in this borefield of around 116 MWh per year in extraction. However, this borefield is slightly more limited by the cooling demand in the first year (peak temperature of 16.92 °C) than by the peak heating demand in the 25th year (2.63 °C).

One could argue that exceeding the maximum temperature limit for heat injection in the first year is not a major issue, since this potential comfort issue will diminish over time due to the imbalance. However, when working with a monthly profile, you do not know how significant this temperature exceedance is. Will the temperature limit be crossed for just one hour, or for an entire week? Therefore, when using monthly data, it is better to focus on what is known: whether or not a certain limit is crossed, but not for how long.
Hourly temperature profile for the residential building.
Hourly temperature profile for the residential building.

When we run the same simulation with the actual hourly load profile, we see that the same borefield is indeed sufficient (so our design was correct), but for a slightly different reason. Here, the minimum peak temperature in heating is 2.09 °C, and in cooling it is 16.36 °C. Whereas we previously believed that the cooling demand was the actual limiting factor for our borefield design, it is now clear that heating is the real limiting factor.

Where does this difference come from? The peak duration.

With the hourly data, we see that the peak cooling temperature only occurs for one hour, with the second highest temperature already below 16 °C. Assuming that the peak power lasted for 8 hours was, in this case, an overestimation. A close up is shown in the figure below.

Close-up of the temperature profile during the summer months.
Close-up of the temperature profile during the summer months.

For the peak heating demand, the situation is the opposite: since the building uses underfloor heating, the temperature remains low for a much longer period (as shown in the figure below). In this case, a peak duration of 8 hours for heating was actually an underestimation.

Close-up of the temperature profile during the winter months.
Close-up of the temperature profile during the winter months.
One might think that, to overcome this difference, the peak duration for heating and cooling could simply be adjusted to match the hourly demand. While this would indeed work, it only works a posteriori, once an hourly simulation has been performed. The peak duration that reflects the real behaviour of the building can only be determined through simulation (or measurement, if the building already exists). This value varies from building to building, and fine tuning it based on one project can lead to significant discrepancies in another.

Auditorium building

For the auditorium building, an initial simulation was also carried out using a monthly resolution, with a peak demand of 32 kW for heating and 90 kW for cooling, and yearly demands of 38 MWh and 3.9 MWh respectively. As shown in the figure below, this borefield is clearly limited by the peak cooling demand in the first year, and 9×4 boreholes, each 150 m deep, are required to meet the building’s needs. The maximum average fluid temperature reaches 16.85 °C.

Monthly temperature profile for the auditorium building.
Monthly temperature profile for the auditorium building.

When the same simulation is performed with an hourly resolution, the profile below is obtained. In this case, the maximum temperature drops to 16.16 °C, indicating that the required borefield size was (significantly) overestimated in the monthly simulation. Since the cooling system in the auditorium is all air, the peak power is typically highly variable and has a relatively short peak duration.

Hourly temperature profile for the auditorium building.
Hourly temperature profile for the auditorium building.

Since the borefield is now oversized, we could try to significantly reduce its size. When using a borefield of 7×4 boreholes (reducing the investment cost by 22%), we obtain a system that reaches a peak average fluid temperature of 17.69 °C, slightly above the allowed threshold. However, thanks to the hourly resolution of the data, we can see (as shown in the figure below) that this peak temperature occurs only once during the entire simulation, while the other peak temperatures remain well below 17 °C.

Using this hourly resolution, we can therefore confidently reduce the required borefield size and avoid uneconomical oversizing.

Close-up of the temperature profile during the summer months.
Close-up of the temperature profile during the summer months.
The particular shape of this profile is the result of the chosen HVAC system. The heating of the auditorium is provided by underfloor heating, leading to lower peak powers, whereas the cooling needs to respond quickly since the occupancy of an auditorium can change rapidly. That is why an all air system is used for cooling, resulting in very sharp and high cooling peaks.

Conclusion

In this chapter, designing with both monthly and hourly load profiles was compared. It was shown that it is possible to obtain correct designs with both resolutions. However, due to the estimation of the peak duration when working with a monthly resolution, a certain level of nuance related to the minimum and maximum temperatures is lost.

With an hourly profile, you can clearly see how long a certain critical temperature is reached and, based on your best judgement, make design decisions accordingly. For example, if a threshold is only exceeded for 1 or 2 hours, given the inherent uncertainty of the profile, it may not make sense to size the system for that.

When working with monthly loads, you only see a single critical temperature and not how many hours within the month this occurs. Due to this lack of detail, it becomes more difficult to assess whether the borefield is over or undersized.

In general, designing with hourly data is preferred due to the higher level of detail. This level of detail can then be further enhanced using more advanced and accurate models, as explained in the next chapters, starting with variable fluid properties.

In many cases, an hourly load profile may not be available for your simulation. It is therefore possible to use the functionality within GHEtool Cloud to generate an hourly load profile based on weather data and yearly estimates. This will be covered later in the course, but the methodology can already be found in Part 1.4.

Question

In the case of the residential building, try to find the best combination of peak durations for heating and cooling to achieve a good match with the hourly simulation profile. You can try to do the same for the auditorium building.

Downloads

  • Download GHEtool simulation from this chapter here.
  • Download the hourly load profile for the auditorium and residential building.

References

  • Peere, W., Hermans, L., Boydens, W. and Helsen, L. (2023). Evaluation of the oversizing and computational speed of different open-source borefield sizing methods. In Proceedings of the 18th IBPSA Conference, Shanghai, China, Sept. 4-6, 2023, https://doi.org/10.26868/25222708.2023.1287

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